Beregning p\303\245 tests vedr. coronaBegreber"Sensitivitet" = sandsynligheden for at testen viser positiv, hvis personen er smittet =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.
"Specificitet" = sandsynligheden for at testen viser negativ, hvis personen ikke er smittet = 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.
"Pr\303\246valensen" = andelen af befolkningen, som er smittede.LUklbXJvd0c2Iy9JK21vZHVsZW5hbWVHNiJJLFR5cGVzZXR0aW5nR0koX3N5c2xpYkdGJzYlLUkjbWlHRiQ2JlEiUEYnLyUnaXRhbGljR1EldHJ1ZUYnLyUrZXhlY3V0YWJsZUdRJmZhbHNlRicvJSxtYXRodmFyaWFudEdRJ2l0YWxpY0YnRjIvRjZRJ25vcm1hbEYn betyder sandsynligheden. Med den lodrette streg | menes en betinget sandsynlighed.3 test-typer: PCR, antigen (ag), antistof (IgM og IgG)PCR-test har en sensitivitet p\303\245 ca. 98% og en specificitet p\303\245 99.9%. Brugeren f\303\245r svar efter 1 d\303\270gn.
PCR er en forkortelse for "Polymerase Chain Reaction".Falck anvender 2 kvik-tests fra ABBOTT hhv. ROCHE.
Kvik-test giver brugeren svar efter 1 kvarter, og er af typen antigen (ag). Der anvendes ingen apparater.
Kvik-test (langt op i n\303\246sen) fra ABBOTT har en sensitivitet p\303\245 93.3% og en specificitet p\303\245 99.4%.
https://www.globalpointofcare.abbott/da/product-details/panbio-covid-19-ag-antigen-test.html
Kvik-test (langt op i n\303\246sen) fra ROCHE har en sensitivitet p\303\245 96.52% og en specificitet p\303\245 99.68%.
https://diagnostics.roche.com/global/en/products/params/sars-cov-2-rapid-antigen-test.html#productSpecs
Kvik-test (kort op i n\303\246sen) fra NEWGENE har en sensitivitet p\303\245 92% [ 83,63 %-96,28 %] og en specificitet p\303\245 99.26% [95,92 %-99,87 %]:
https://www.kontorland.dk/Admin/Public/DWSDownload.aspx?File=%2fFiles%2fFiles%2fpdf%2f804215_IFU_DK.pdf
Kvik-test (spyt) fra NEWGENE har en sensitivitet p\303\245 97.3% [92,4 %-99,4 %] og en specificitet p\303\245 99% [94,4 %-100,0 %]:
https://www.kontorland.dk/Admin/Public/DWSDownload.aspx?File=%2fFiles%2fFiles%2fpdf%2f804217_IFU_DK.pdf
Passer disse flotte tal for kvik-tests?
SSI og Sundhedsstyrelsen tvivler p\303\245 disse p\303\246ne tal is\303\246r for sensitiviteten af kvik-tests:
https://www.dr.dk/nyheder/indland/overblik-staten-omfavner-kviktest-i-kampen-mod-corona-men-hvor-sikre-er-de-og-hvemSSI-notat fra 11/11-2020: https://www.ssi.dk/aktuelt/nyheder/2020/ekspertgruppe---antigen-test-kan-kun-bruges-som-supplement
Citat:
"Et fransk studie har s\303\245ledes set p\303\245 tre kendte antigen-test: Biosensor Standard Q, Abbott Panbio og Biosynex.
Her angiver producenterne en f\303\270lsomhed p\303\245 93-98% i forhold til PCR-testen, men det franske studie viser, at den kun var p\303\245 henholdsvis 60,1%, 55,3% og 59,6%."
Unders\303\270gelse med PCR-test contra kvik-test er igang i testcenter T\303\245strup.
SSI-nyhed d. 28/12-2020: https://www.ssi.dk/aktuelt/nyheder/2020/undersogelse-om-folsomheden-for-antigentest-i-forhold-til-pcr-test-er-i-gangStudie fra USA: Lyntest fanger kun to ud af fem uden symptomer.
Politiken 4/1-2021: https://politiken.dk/forbrugogliv/sundhedogmotion/art8052307/Lyntest-fanger-kun-to-ud-af-fem-uden-symptomerNB: Dansk unders\303\270gelse d. 26. januar 2021: https://nyheder.tv2.dk/samfund/2021-01-26-hurtigtest-er-bedre-end-forst-antaget-viser-dansk-forskning
Viser, at sensitiviteten er ca. 70% og specificiteten er ca. 99.5%.
Der findes ogs\303\245 en 3. testtype: antistof-test IgM og IgG. Den kan anvendes til at vise, at brugeren har haft covid-19. Kan alts\303\245 ikke bruges til at teste aktuel smitte.Fin graf over de 3 typer test: https://haemomedtec.dk/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/coronatest-graf.pngFirmaet HaemoMedTec's Antigen og Antistof tests har f\303\270lgende sensitiviteter og specificitet:
https://haemomedtec.dk/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/coronatest-stats2.pngLUklbXJvd0c2Iy9JK21vZHVsZW5hbWVHNiJJLFR5cGVzZXR0aW5nR0koX3N5c2xpYkdGJzYjLUkjbWlHRiQ2I1EhRic=Sp\303\270rgsm\303\245l1) hvis testen er positiv, hvad er s\303\245 sandsynligheden for at personen har corona? (kaldet "positiv pr\303\246dikativ v\303\246rdi", PPV)
2) hvis testen er negativ, hvad er s\303\245 sandsynligheden for at personen ikke har corona? (kaldet "negativ pr\303\246dikativ v\303\246rdi", NPV)LUklbXJvd0c2Iy9JK21vZHVsZW5hbWVHNiJJLFR5cGVzZXR0aW5nR0koX3N5c2xpYkdGJzYjLUkjbWlHRiQ2I1EhRic=Formler til besvarelse af de 2 sp\303\270rgsm\303\245lHertil anvendes Bayes formel, som handler om betingede sandsynligheder.
Se f.eks. https://www.matematiksider.dk/bayes.html#test_sygdomPPV = "positiv pr\303\246dikativ v\303\246rdi":
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 = "negativ pr\303\246dikativ v\303\246rdi":
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 at pr\303\246valensen er 3%.
NB: Svarene p\303\245 de 2 sp\303\270rgsm\303\245l afh\303\246nger meget af pr\303\246valensens st\303\270rrelse.
Men mon ikke de, der f\303\245r taget en test, har en st\303\270rre andel af smittede i forhold til den generelle befolkning?PCR-testPPV = "positiv pr\303\246dikativ v\303\246rdi":
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 = Alts\303\245 ca. 96.8%.Dvs. hvis testen er positiv, s\303\245 er der 96.8% sandsynlighed for at personen har corona.NPV = "negativ pr\303\246dikativ v\303\246rdi":
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 = Alts\303\245 ca. 99.9%.Dvs. hvis testen er negativ, s\303\245 er der 99.9% sandsynlighed for at personen ikke har corona.LUklbXJvd0c2Iy9JK21vZHVsZW5hbWVHNiJJLFR5cGVzZXR0aW5nR0koX3N5c2xpYkdGJzYjLUkjbWlHRiQ2I1EhRic=Kvik-test fra ABBOTTPPV = "positiv pr\303\246dikativ v\303\246rdi":
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 = Alts\303\245 ca. 82.8%.Dvs. hvis testen er positiv, s\303\245 er der 82.8% sandsynlighed for at personen har corona.NPV = "negativ pr\303\246dikativ v\303\246rdi":
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 = Alts\303\245 ca. 99.8%.Dvs. hvis testen er negativ, s\303\245 er der 99.8% sandsynlighed for at personen ikke har corona.Kvik-test fra ROCHEPPV = "positiv pr\303\246dikativ v\303\246rdi":
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 = Alts\303\245 ca. 90.3%.Dvs. hvis testen er positiv, s\303\245 er der 90.3% sandsynlighed for at personen har corona.NPV = "negativ pr\303\246dikativ v\303\246rdi":
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 = Alts\303\245 ca. 99.9%.Dvs. hvis testen er negativ, s\303\245 er der 99.9% sandsynlighed for at personen ikke har corona.Kvik-test med SSI's tal fra 11/11-2020SSI-notat fra 11/11-2020:https://www.ssi.dk/aktuelt/nyheder/2020/ekspertgruppe---antigen-test-kan-kun-bruges-som-supplementHer s\303\246ttes sensitiviteten til 60% ! Antag ogs\303\245 at specificiteten er 99%.PPV = "positiv pr\303\246dikativ v\303\246rdi":
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 = Alts\303\245 ca. 65.0%.Dvs. hvis testen er positiv, s\303\245 er der 65.0% sandsynlighed for at personen har corona.NPV = "negativ pr\303\246dikativ v\303\246rdi":
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 = Alts\303\245 ca. 98.8%.Dvs. hvis testen er negativ, s\303\245 er der 98.8% sandsynlighed for at personen ikke har corona.LUklbXJvd0c2Iy9JK21vZHVsZW5hbWVHNiJJLFR5cGVzZXR0aW5nR0koX3N5c2xpYkdGJzYjLUkjbWlHRiQ2I1EhRic=Kvik-test med tal fra dansk unders\303\270gelse fra 26/1-2021Dansk unders\303\270gelse fra 27/1-2021:https://nyheder.tv2.dk/samfund/2021-01-26-hurtigtest-er-bedre-end-forst-antaget-viser-dansk-forskningHer s\303\246ttes sensitiviteten til 70% ! Antag ogs\303\245 at specificiteten er 99.5%.NB: Det er egentlig 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 som er 70%, og 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 som er 99.5%.
Hvis man stoler p\303\245 PCR-testen, s\303\245 m\303\245 man antage, at 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 og at 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.PPV = "positiv pr\303\246dikativ v\303\246rdi":
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 = Alts\303\245 ca. 65.0%.Dvs. hvis testen er positiv, s\303\245 er der 81.2% sandsynlighed for at personen har corona.NPV = "negativ pr\303\246dikativ v\303\246rdi":
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 = Alts\303\245 ca. 98.8%.Dvs. hvis testen er negativ, s\303\245 er der 99.1% sandsynlighed for at personen ikke har corona.Kvik-test (n\303\246se) med tal fra NEWGENEPPV = "positiv pr\303\246dikativ v\303\246rdi":
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 = Alts\303\245 ca. 79.4%.Dvs. hvis testen er positiv, s\303\245 er der 79.4% sandsynlighed for at personen har corona.NPV = "negativ pr\303\246dikativ v\303\246rdi":
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 = Alts\303\245 ca. 99.8%.Dvs. hvis testen er negativ, s\303\245 er der 99.8% sandsynlighed for at personen ikke har corona.Kvik-test (spyt) med tal fra NEWGENEPPV = "positiv pr\303\246dikativ v\303\246rdi":
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 = Alts\303\245 ca. 75.1%.Dvs. hvis testen er positiv, s\303\245 er der 75.1% sandsynlighed for at personen har corona.NPV = "negativ pr\303\246dikativ v\303\246rdi":
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 = Alts\303\245 ca. 99.9%.Dvs. hvis testen er negativ, s\303\245 er der 99.9% sandsynlighed for at personen ikke har corona.Konklusion:Hvis man f\303\245r en negativ test, s\303\245 er det n\303\246sten sikkert, at man ikke har corona. Det g\303\246lder for b\303\245de PCR-test og de 2 kvik-tests.Hvis man f\303\245r en positiv PCR-test, s\303\245 er det n\303\246sten sikkert, at man har corona.
Hvis man f\303\245r en positiv kvik-test, s\303\245 b\303\270r man tage en PCR-test for at afg\303\270re sagen.LUklbXJvd0c2Iy9JK21vZHVsZW5hbWVHNiJJLFR5cGVzZXR0aW5nR0koX3N5c2xpYkdGJzYjLUkjbWlHRiQ2I1EhRic=